Una situazione limite nel panorama demografico nazionale: il caso di Bologna

Abstract

The paper describes the population crisis of the municipality of Bologna which represents a borderline case in the national panorama. Since the first half of the seventies the population of Bologna has undergone a continuous decrease caused by the natural and migratory balance deficit. This has deeply changed the age composition of the population a drastic decrease in the number of the younger below fourteen years and an increase in the number of the older. Assuming that, in the future ten years fecundity and mortality keep constant and the migratory balance becomes negative, a further reduction of the resident population of Bologna may be foreseen together with a stronger changement in the demographic pattern. The socio-economical consequences of this will particularly concern the demand for sanitary and health services, involving also the labour market which would present better conditions for employment.