Considerations on a posteriori probability
Keywords:Prior and posterior probabilities, Bayes-Laplace solution, Beta distribution, Sex ratio at birth
AbstractIn this first paper of 1911 relating to the sex ratio at birth, Gini repurposed a Laplace’s succession rule according to a Bayesian version. The Gini's intuition consisted in assuming for prior probability a Beta type distribution and introducing the "method of results (direct and indirect)" for the determination of prior probabilities according to the statistical frequency obtained from statistical data.
How to Cite
Gini, C. (2015). Considerations on a posteriori probability. Statistica, 75(2), 135–151. https://doi.org/10.6092/issn.1973-2201/6023