Fiducial estimates of unknown probabilities
AbstractThe much debated fiducial argument, developed by R.A.Fischer in the thirties, makes the inductive reasoning possible even on the basis of a single sample observation. It allows, when suitably adapted, to describe a personal uncertainty about a probability value (not approximate by an empirical frequency) through second order probability distributions: the proposed models, arisen from the application of fiducial principles to suitable probability transforms (odds and log-odds), required in fact solely a subjective starting evaluation of the unknown probability.
How to Cite
Agati, P. (1997). Fiducial estimates of unknown probabilities. Statistica, 57(3), 383–396. https://doi.org/10.6092/issn.1973-2201/1063
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